{"id":7748,"date":"2019-12-13T21:24:18","date_gmt":"2019-12-13T20:24:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/?p=7748"},"modified":"2019-12-13T21:24:20","modified_gmt":"2019-12-13T20:24:20","slug":"mimoriadne-oteplenie-v-buducom-tyzdni-tropicky-vzduch-v-decembri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/mimoriadne-oteplenie-v-buducom-tyzdni-tropicky-vzduch-v-decembri\/","title":{"rendered":"Mimoriadne oteplenie v bud\u00facom t\u00fd\u017edni, tropick\u00fd vzduch v decembri?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Zd\u00e1 sa, \u017ee v\u00a0bud\u00facom t\u00fd\u017edni bude po\u010dasie doslova naruby. Miesto zimn\u00fdch pomerov n\u00e1s \u010dak\u00e1 nevydan\u00e9 oteplenie. Pr\u00edlev tepl\u00e9ho vzduchu by mal by\u0165 tak\u00fd v\u00fdrazn\u00fd, \u017ee z\u00e1porn\u00e9 teploty budeme m\u00e1rne h\u013eada\u0165 aj na hor\u00e1ch. Preto je predpoklad, \u017ee bud\u00fa prekonan\u00e9 teplotn\u00e9 rekordy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rozlo\u017eenie tlakov\u00e9ho po\u013ea bude na december pomerne nezvy\u010dajn\u00e9. Do strednej Eur\u00f3py za\u010dne po okraji rozsiahlej br\u00e1zdy n\u00edzkeho tlaku vzduchu pr\u00fadi\u0165 tropick\u00fd vzduch a\u017e z\u00a0oblasti Sahary. U\u017e cez v\u00edkend sa bude postupne otep\u013eova\u0165. Na juhu a\u00a0juhoz\u00e1pade sa teploty postupne dostan\u00fa a\u017e na +8 \u00b0C. Otep\u013eovanie bude pokra\u010dova\u0165 aj v\u00a0novom t\u00fd\u017edni, kedy sa teploty dostan\u00fa v\u00a0najteplej\u0161\u00edch oblastiach na interval +10 a\u017e +15 \u00b0C. \u00a0Vzostup tepl\u00f4t m\u00f4\u017ee pribrzdi\u0165 jedine inverzia, ktor\u00e1 sa ale pri tak v\u00fdraznom pr\u00faden\u00ed bude pov\u00e4\u010d\u0161ine rozpada\u0165. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"765\" height=\"779\" src=\"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7752\" srcset=\"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-1.png 765w, http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-1-295x300.png 295w, http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-1-600x611.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 765px) 100vw, 765px\" \/><figcaption> Obr. 1 Maxim\u00e1lne denn\u00e9 teploty na stredu 18.12.2019 pod\u013ea modelu ECMWF.  <\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pr\u00fadenie tropick\u00e9ho vzduchu bude stabilne trva\u0165 nieko\u013eko dn\u00ed, preto zatia\u013e nevieme poveda\u0165, ktor\u00fd de\u0148 bude najteplej\u0161\u00ed, no teploty m\u00f4\u017eu by\u0165 e\u0161te o\u00a0nie\u010do vy\u0161\u0161ie. Z\u00a0poh\u013eadu decembrov\u00e9ho teplotn\u00e9ho priemeru tak p\u00f4jde o\u00a0mimoriadnu situ\u00e1ciu, po\u010das ktorej bud\u00fa teploty o\u00a010 a\u017e 13 stup\u0148ov vy\u0161\u0161ie ako je dlhodob\u00fd decembrov\u00fd priemer.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wetterzentrale.de\/de\/topkarten.php?map=1&amp;model=gfs&amp;var=2&amp;run=12&amp;time=102&amp;lid=OP&amp;h=0&amp;mv=0&amp;tr=3#mapref\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"954\" height=\"769\" src=\"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7753\" srcset=\"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-2.png 954w, http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-2-300x242.png 300w, http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-2-768x619.png 768w, http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-2-600x484.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 954px) 100vw, 954px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>Obr. 2 Synoptick\u00e1 situ\u00e1cia na utorok 17.12.2019, pod\u013ea modelu GFS.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Zopakuj\u00fa si Vysok\u00e9 Tatry extr\u00e9mne teploty ? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>V&nbsp;rokoch 2006 a&nbsp;1989 bolo na Lomnickom \u0161t\u00edte nameran\u00e9 absol\u00fatne\ndecembrov\u00e9 maximum teploty vzduchu. V&nbsp;roku 2006 sa tu oteplilo a\u017e na +5,8\n\u00b0C &nbsp;a&nbsp;v&nbsp;roku 1989 na +5,2 \u00b0C. Numerick\u00e9\nprogn\u00f3zy modelu GFS a ECMWF sa u\u017e nieko\u013eko dn\u00ed zhoduj\u00fa na mimoriadnom oteplen\u00ed aj\nvo vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch hladin\u00e1ch 2000 &#8211; 3000 m n.m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aktu\u00e1lne progn\u00f3zy dokonca hovoria o tom, \u017ee mrzn\u00fa\u0165 by nemalo a\u017e do v\u00fd\u0161ky 3500 m n. m.<br> Teplota v jednotliv\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161kach by mala by\u0165 nasledovn\u00e1 (vo vo\u013enej atmosf\u00e9re):<br> +3\/+4 \u00b0C &#8230; 3\u00a0000 m n.m.<br> +7 \u00b0C &#8230;&#8230;&#8230; 2\u00a0500 m n.m.<br> +10 \u00b0C &#8230;&#8230;. 2\u00a0000 m n.m.<br> najchladnej\u0161ie by malo by\u0165 vo v\u00fd\u0161ke 1000-1300m.n., okolo +3 \u00b0C<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/kachelmannwetter.com\/de\/modellkarten\/euro\/europa\/nullgradgrenze\/20191217-2100z.html\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"765\" height=\"785\" src=\"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7750\" srcset=\"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok.png 765w, http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-292x300.png 292w, http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/obr\u00e1zok-600x616.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 765px) 100vw, 765px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>Obr. 3 Hranica nulovej izotermy pod\u013ea nadmorskej v\u00fd\u0161ky na utorok 17.12.2019 22:00. <\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Vianoce bez snehu?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sen o&nbsp;bielych Vianociach sa aj tento rok nenapln\u00ed.\nOteplenie, ktor\u00e9 sa o\u010dak\u00e1va by malo pretrva\u0165 pravdepodobne a\u017e do za\u010diatku\nVianoc. Tentokr\u00e1t to dokonca vyzer\u00e1, \u017ee aj hory bud\u00fa ma\u0165 probl\u00e9m s&nbsp;pr\u00edrodn\u00fdm\nsnehom. Mnoh\u00e9 ly\u017eiarske strediska &nbsp;ostan\u00fa\nteda zatvoren\u00e9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zd\u00e1 sa, \u017ee v\u00a0bud\u00facom t\u00fd\u017edni bude po\u010dasie doslova naruby. Miesto zimn\u00fdch pomerov n\u00e1s \u010dak\u00e1 nevydan\u00e9 oteplenie. Pr\u00edlev tepl\u00e9ho vzduchu by mal by\u0165 tak\u00fd v\u00fdrazn\u00fd, \u017ee z\u00e1porn\u00e9 teploty budeme m\u00e1rne h\u013eada\u0165 aj na hor\u00e1ch. Preto je predpoklad, \u017ee bud\u00fa prekonan\u00e9 teplotn\u00e9 rekordy. Rozlo\u017eenie tlakov\u00e9ho po\u013ea bude na december pomerne nezvy\u010dajn\u00e9. Do strednej Eur\u00f3py za\u010dne po okraji rozsiahlej br\u00e1zdy n\u00edzkeho tlaku vzduchu pr\u00fadi\u0165 tropick\u00fd vzduch a\u017e z\u00a0oblasti Sahary. U\u017e cez v\u00edkend sa bude postupne otep\u013eova\u0165. Na juhu a\u00a0juhoz\u00e1pade sa teploty postupne dostan\u00fa a\u017e na +8 \u00b0C. Otep\u013eovanie bude pokra\u010dova\u0165 aj v\u00a0novom t\u00fd\u017edni, kedy sa teploty dostan\u00fa v\u00a0najteplej\u0161\u00edch oblastiach na interval +10 a\u017e +15 \u00b0C. \u00a0Vzostup tepl\u00f4t m\u00f4\u017ee pribrzdi\u0165 jedine inverzia, ktor\u00e1 sa ale pri tak v\u00fdraznom pr\u00faden\u00ed bude pov\u00e4\u010d\u0161ine rozpada\u0165. Obr. 1 Maxim\u00e1lne denn\u00e9 teploty na stredu 18.12.2019 pod\u013ea modelu ECMWF. Pr\u00fadenie tropick\u00e9ho vzduchu bude stabilne trva\u0165 nieko\u013eko dn\u00ed, preto zatia\u013e nevieme poveda\u0165, ktor\u00fd de\u0148 bude najteplej\u0161\u00ed, no teploty m\u00f4\u017eu by\u0165 e\u0161te o\u00a0nie\u010do vy\u0161\u0161ie. Z\u00a0poh\u013eadu decembrov\u00e9ho teplotn\u00e9ho priemeru tak p\u00f4jde o\u00a0mimoriadnu situ\u00e1ciu, po\u010das ktorej bud\u00fa teploty o\u00a010 a\u017e 13 stup\u0148ov vy\u0161\u0161ie ako je dlhodob\u00fd decembrov\u00fd priemer.\u00a0 Obr. 2 Synoptick\u00e1 situ\u00e1cia na utorok 17.12.2019, pod\u013ea modelu GFS. Zopakuj\u00fa si Vysok\u00e9 Tatry extr\u00e9mne teploty ? V&nbsp;rokoch 2006 a&nbsp;1989 bolo na Lomnickom \u0161t\u00edte nameran\u00e9 absol\u00fatne decembrov\u00e9 maximum teploty vzduchu. V&nbsp;roku 2006 sa tu oteplilo a\u017e na +5,8 \u00b0C &nbsp;a&nbsp;v&nbsp;roku 1989 na +5,2 \u00b0C. Numerick\u00e9 progn\u00f3zy modelu GFS a ECMWF sa u\u017e nieko\u013eko dn\u00ed zhoduj\u00fa na mimoriadnom oteplen\u00ed aj vo vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch hladin\u00e1ch 2000 &#8211; 3000 m n.m. Aktu\u00e1lne progn\u00f3zy dokonca hovoria o tom, \u017ee mrzn\u00fa\u0165 by nemalo a\u017e do v\u00fd\u0161ky 3500 m n. m. Teplota v jednotliv\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161kach by mala by\u0165 nasledovn\u00e1 (vo vo\u013enej atmosf\u00e9re): +3\/+4 \u00b0C &#8230; 3\u00a0000 m n.m. +7 \u00b0C &#8230;&#8230;&#8230; 2\u00a0500 m n.m. +10 \u00b0C &#8230;&#8230;. 2\u00a0000 m n.m. najchladnej\u0161ie by malo by\u0165 vo v\u00fd\u0161ke 1000-1300m.n., okolo +3 \u00b0C Obr. 3 Hranica nulovej izotermy pod\u013ea nadmorskej v\u00fd\u0161ky na utorok 17.12.2019 22:00. Vianoce bez snehu? Sen o&nbsp;bielych Vianociach sa aj tento rok nenapln\u00ed. Oteplenie, ktor\u00e9 sa o\u010dak\u00e1va by malo pretrva\u0165 pravdepodobne a\u017e do za\u010diatku Vianoc. Tentokr\u00e1t to dokonca vyzer\u00e1, \u017ee aj hory bud\u00fa ma\u0165 probl\u00e9m s&nbsp;pr\u00edrodn\u00fdm snehom. Mnoh\u00e9 ly\u017eiarske strediska &nbsp;ostan\u00fa teda zatvoren\u00e9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7748","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nezaradene"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7748"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7748"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7748\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7755,"href":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7748\/revisions\/7755"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7748"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7748"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/meteocentrum.sk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7748"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}